Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.429123 0.495381 0.567545 0.651854 0.747524 0.852580 0.976551
2025-08-31 0.304364 0.391452 0.495798 0.629458 0.795495 0.994290 1.249605
2025-09-07 0.256795 0.357302 0.486310 0.662756 0.896318 1.193215 1.597261
2025-09-14 0.207108 0.308305 0.446053 0.645164 0.923082 1.294278 1.823969
2025-09-21 0.170695 0.269841 0.411992 0.627673 0.942909 1.382264 2.035143
2025-09-28 0.143622 0.239866 0.384522 0.613811 0.963025 1.468483 2.246909
2025-10-05 0.128834 0.225961 0.378181 0.628921 1.024797 1.616898 2.557306
2025-10-12 0.119940 0.219920 0.382647 0.660112 1.112473 1.809023 2.945829
2025-10-19 0.109431 0.209495 0.378418 0.676163 1.176697 1.969016 3.295815
2025-10-26 0.098780 0.197207 0.369345 0.682607 1.224909 2.106232 3.618510
2025-11-02 0.088384 0.183845 0.356649 0.681006 1.258621 2.221319 3.912156
2025-11-09 0.078237 0.169486 0.340368 0.670998 1.276243 2.309993 4.166958
2025-11-16 0.069289 0.156439 0.325358 0.662338 1.296502 2.406436 4.445379
2025-11-23 0.059931 0.141224 0.304472 0.640500 1.290936 2.457909 4.650638
2025-11-30 0.057666 0.140687 0.312250 0.674402 1.391390 2.703422 5.213377
2025-12-07 0.050562 0.128455 0.294867 0.656531 1.391376 2.766873 5.452768
2025-12-14 0.044390 0.117375 0.278489 0.638757 1.389493 2.825904 5.686861
2025-12-21 0.039292 0.108027 0.264655 0.624671 1.393323 2.895242 5.943767
2025-12-28 0.036950 0.105070 0.264597 0.640026 1.458366 3.086175 6.443569
2026-01-04 0.035911 0.105261 0.271696 0.671721 1.559900 3.354831 7.109749
2026-01-11 0.033918 0.102663 0.271975 0.688030 1.629821 3.564845 7.673041
2026-01-18 0.031506 0.098574 0.268200 0.694578 1.678918 3.735625 8.167948
2026-01-25 0.028874 0.093454 0.261277 0.692951 1.709575 3.870056 8.596631